A new report on the pre-election poll performance in 2024 and an interview with two seasoned veterans of Election Day polling describe problems and what lies ahead.

Polls underestimated the Democratic vote in New Jersey and Virginia and missed a Republican collapse in New York City.

Last week Democrats won elections in Virginia, New Jersey, California and New York City that could be a harbinger on how the 2026 midterm elections will unfold. There was also Texas action, as a Democrat finished first in a special state Senate election in a longtime Republican stronghold.