The US Bureau of Economic Analysis estimated that real GDP contracted at an annualized rate of 0.3 percent in Q1 2025, the first negative reading since Q1 2022. The April 29 GDPNow nowcasts were well ...

U.S. economic growth slowed more than expected in the fourth quarter of 2025, impacted by the government shutdown and ...

The Fed paper found that Kalshi's markets provide data that's "valuable to both researchers and policymakers." ...

Are professional economists truly objective when forecasting economic projections? New research from Wake Forest University suggests otherwise, revealing a subtle yet powerful influence of political ...

The climbing limo method of forecasting future GDP in the United States projects the nation's economic output in the recently finished second quarter of 2025 will be around $30.5 trillion. This ...

FRANKFURT (Reuters) -A ChatGPT analysis of qualitative commentary in PMI releases can significantly improve GDP forecasting, a paper published by the European Central Bank of Thursday showed. The ECB ...

The field of economic models and forecasting encompasses the development and application of theoretical, empirical and computational frameworks to predict future economic outcomes. These models range ...

It has been especially difficult to get a read on the current state of this economy, ever since the government shutdown started last week and agencies in Washington stopped delivering economic data.

This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more. This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more. The overall economy impacts small businesses, but particular impacts might be different for ...