Barclays has pushed back its expected European Central Bank rate hike timeline to June and September 2026, from prior April ...

Israeli forces demolish towns in Lebanon's buffer zone, reducing odds for suspension of military action by April 30 to 15% ...

Several cruise ships fled the Persian Gulf amid conflict, but fewer than 10 ships will transit the Strait of Hormuz by April ...

Iran threatens retaliation after the US seizes a ship. Trump announces ceasefire breach by April 21 at 18% YES.

Iran's uranium enrichment deal remains uncertain as the April 21 ceasefire deadline approaches, with agreement odds at 27.8% ...

US Space Force aids in degrading Iranian missile capabilities by 90%. Military action by a Gulf state against Iran by April ...

The U.S. Army is rolling out unmanned ground drones for troop support, and the Space Force made its combat debut in Operation ...

In the Iran peace deal market, a permanent agreement by April 22 is priced at 19.5% YES, down from 40% just a day ago. With ...

US Space Force joins Operation Epic Fury against Iran. Gulf state military action against Iran by April 30, 2026 at 9.5% YES.

Bitcoin’s price surged past $78,000 after President Trump said a deal to end the US-Iran conflict is “mostly complete” and ...

Rumen Radev's coalition leads exit polls with 37-39% of the vote. Radev as next Prime Minister of Bulgaria at 94.8% YES.

Trump hesitates on Kharg Island troop deployment, cooling takeover expectations. Control by April 30 at 7.3% YES.