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The Berenberg economics team led by Holger Schmieding produced this striking chart, showing how interest-rate expectations are heading in the opposite direction of inflation expectations ...
The theory of interest rate pegs was originated by economist Irving Fisher in the 1930s. ... Expected real interest rate = 5-year inflation linked bond yield 5-years forward.
The case for a U.S. interest rate cut remains unresolved as Federal Reserve officials head into their policy meeting later ...
Longer-term inflation expectations are also muted, according to the Cleveland Fed’s model. U.S. inflation over the next decade, for example, is forecast to average 2.3% per year.
Fed Governor Christopher Waller and Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman, both appointed by President Donald Trump ...
Fed holds interest rates steady at 23-year high despite US inflation easing slightly in May. The decision came hours after fresh data showed a slight cooldown of inflation.
This "real rate" of the 1-year maturity stood at 1.7% - the actual 1-year Treasury yield of 4.1% minus the CPI's 2.4%. Over the past 20 years, the average one-year real rate has been a negative-0.8%.